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The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of …-mean-reverting. The forecasting properties of the selected models for each country are also examined at the end of the article. -- Long …
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We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
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