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We nowcast and forecast Austrian economic activity, namely real gross domestic product (GDP), consumption and investment, which are available at a quarterly frequency. While nowcasting uses data up to (and including) the quarter to be predicted, forecasting uses only data up to the previous...
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This paper focuses on the impact of EU structural funds (SFs) on the GDP per capita of 183 European NUTS2 regions from 1990 to 2016. To allow for the endogeneity of funds allocation to regions, we estimate a bivariate structural panel VAR model, controlling for unobserved heterogeneity through a...
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This paper analyses alternative constraints in Structural VAR models allowing for the decomposition between permanent and transitory components. Alternative SVAR specifications are then compared in a real-time exercise using the HP filter as a benchmark.
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This dissertation is composed of three research papers that I have been working on during my doctoral studies in the "Doctoral Programme in Quantitative Economics and Finance" at the University of Konstanz. The three papers are empirical studies on time series analysis and empirical...
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Bruttoinlandsprodukt hin, obgleich in einigen Ländern noch Anpassungsprozesse festgestellt werden können. Bei der Reaktion der Outputlücke …
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This paper provides new estimates of Okun’s unemployment-output relationship in euro area countries between 1979 and 2019. We find our structural estimates are stable but substantially lower than the reduced-form estimates that tend to characterise the literature and that the responsiveness of...
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